Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-16 808.407300 915.006730 1034.456481 1179.002436 1350.217270 1547.836488 1795.053763
2025-03-23 655.708808 796.435374 969.271944 1200.371229 1506.250551 1904.504688 2474.679791
2025-03-30 555.067678 702.036244 892.454407 1162.859136 1546.495589 2086.743705 2934.840695
2025-04-06 483.949210 631.593788 831.078685 1128.370822 1574.940111 2246.985499 3390.778196
2025-04-13 427.858379 572.528153 774.697390 1088.143539 1582.007019 2368.739576 3806.885923
2025-04-20 403.768379 554.316865 772.162505 1124.246805 1708.114275 2698.135000 4660.277907
2025-04-27 377.671730 529.766116 756.436427 1136.112607 1794.609589 2975.463777 5497.653229
2025-05-04 355.843875 508.991676 743.469250 1149.454437 1883.993200 3274.212568 6472.588915
2025-05-11 335.907338 488.973851 729.106897 1157.689769 1964.220733 3570.906775 7545.810445
2025-05-18 324.566978 481.189585 733.269126 1197.926072 2110.311581 4033.546835 9201.771608
2025-05-25 311.476162 469.278719 729.078520 1222.025187 2228.178753 4463.594465 10967.663167
2025-06-01 296.814519 453.476629 716.544768 1228.587144 2310.537073 4832.410226 12739.153362
2025-06-08 280.369899 433.989244 696.788444 1220.860567 2365.782449 5162.955232 14620.722469
2025-06-15 269.552773 423.341332 691.941473 1242.418135 2491.734742 5715.915834 17655.315375
2025-06-22 251.552570 398.800758 659.470748 1203.366331 2469.414889 5860.231617 19239.096936
2025-06-29 235.647483 376.871956 630.053383 1167.328582 2448.463845 6004.654826 20944.441844
2025-07-06 220.409998 355.167216 599.398468 1125.340545 2406.190333 6076.226269 22398.251161
2025-07-13 215.976639 352.634179 605.085814 1163.025999 2574.075841 6857.625414 28062.008053
2025-07-20 208.932895 344.805371 599.755632 1175.415248 2677.965831 7469.849751 33557.822157
2025-07-27 202.545773 337.754921 595.348716 1189.347304 2789.215982 8153.029136 40432.034145
2025-08-03 196.047114 330.063362 589.003723 1197.947928 2887.414054 8830.700581 48367.356963
2025-08-10 193.146710 329.029774 596.178738 1239.979289 3094.207277 10034.113281 62881.967687
2025-08-17 188.798860 324.894096 596.505633 1265.161630 3255.663897 11134.753211 79364.486115